Adaptive Moment Estimation On Deep Belief Network For Rupiah Currency Forecasting

One approach that is often used in forecasting is artificial neural networks (ANN), but ANNs have problems in determining the initial weight value between connections, a long time to reach convergent, and minimum local problems.Deep Belief Network (DBN) model is proposed to improve ANN's abilit...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Prabowo, Abram Setyo (Author), Sihabuddin, Agus (Author), SN, Azhari (Author)
Format: EJournal Article
Published: IndoCEISS in colaboration with Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia., 2019-01-31.
Subjects:
Online Access:Get Fulltext
Get Fulltext
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
LEADER 02403 am a22003133u 4500
001 IJCSS_39071
042 |a dc 
100 1 0 |a Prabowo, Abram Setyo  |e author 
100 1 0 |e contributor 
700 1 0 |a Sihabuddin, Agus  |e author 
700 1 0 |a SN, Azhari  |e author 
245 0 0 |a Adaptive Moment Estimation On Deep Belief Network For Rupiah Currency Forecasting 
260 |b IndoCEISS in colaboration with Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia.,   |c 2019-01-31. 
500 |a https://jurnal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/article/view/39071 
520 |a One approach that is often used in forecasting is artificial neural networks (ANN), but ANNs have problems in determining the initial weight value between connections, a long time to reach convergent, and minimum local problems.Deep Belief Network (DBN) model is proposed to improve ANN's ability to forecast exchange rates. DBN is composed of a Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) stack. The DBN structure is optimally determined through experiments. The Adam method is applied to accelerate learning in DBN because it is able to achieve good results quickly compared to other stochastic optimization methods such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) by maintaining the level of learning for each parameter.Tests are carried out on USD / IDR daily exchange rate data and four evaluation criteria are adopted to evaluate the performance of the proposed method. The DBN-Adam model produces RMSE 59.0635004, MAE 46.406739, MAPE 0.34652. DBN-Adam is also able to reach the point of convergence quickly, where this result is able to outperform the DBN-SGD model. 
540 |a Copyright (c) 2019 IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems) 
540 |a http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0 
546 |a eng 
690 |a Computer Science 
690 |a DBN;Deep Belief Network;Adam;Gradient Descent Optimazation;Forecasting 
655 7 |a info:eu-repo/semantics/article  |2 local 
655 7 |a info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion  |2 local 
655 7 |2 local 
786 0 |n IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems); Vol 13, No 1 (2019): January; 31-42 
786 0 |n 2460-7258 
786 0 |n 1978-1520 
787 0 |n https://jurnal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/article/view/39071/23717 
856 4 1 |u https://jurnal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/article/view/39071  |z Get Fulltext 
856 4 1 |u https://jurnal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/article/view/39071/23717  |z Get Fulltext