Claim Models: Granular Forms and Machine Learning Forms

This collection of articles addresses the most modern forms of loss reserving methodology: granular models and machine learning models. New methodologies come with questions about their applicability. These questions are discussed in one article, which focuses on the relative merits of granular and...

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Main Author: Taylor, Greg (auth)
Format: Book Chapter
Published: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute 2020
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Online Access:Get Fullteks
DOAB: description of the publication
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042 |a dc 
100 1 |a Taylor, Greg  |4 auth 
245 1 0 |a Claim Models: Granular Forms and Machine Learning Forms 
260 |b MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute  |c 2020 
300 |a 1 electronic resource (108 p.) 
506 0 |a Open Access  |2 star  |f Unrestricted online access 
520 |a This collection of articles addresses the most modern forms of loss reserving methodology: granular models and machine learning models. New methodologies come with questions about their applicability. These questions are discussed in one article, which focuses on the relative merits of granular and machine learning models. Others illustrate applications with real-world data. The examples include neural networks, which, though well known in some disciplines, have previously been limited in the actuarial literature. This volume expands on that literature, with specific attention to their application to loss reserving. For example, one of the articles introduces the application of neural networks of the gated recurrent unit form to the actuarial literature, whereas another uses a penalized neural network. Neural networks are not the only form of machine learning, and two other papers outline applications of gradient boosting and regression trees respectively. Both articles construct loss reserves at the individual claim level so that these models resemble granular models. One of these articles provides a practical application of the model to claim watching, the action of monitoring claim development and anticipating major features. Such watching can be used as an early warning system or for other administrative purposes. Overall, this volume is an extremely useful addition to the libraries of those working at the loss reserving frontier. 
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546 |a English 
653 |a n/a 
653 |a granular models 
653 |a neural networks 
653 |a actuarial 
653 |a payments per claim incurred 
653 |a risk pricing 
653 |a machine learning 
653 |a claim watching 
653 |a loss reserving 
653 |a gradient boosting 
653 |a predictive modeling 
653 |a classification and regression trees 
653 |a individual models 
653 |a individual claims reserving 
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