EIB Working Paper 2021/10 - The simpler, the better : Measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability

In this paper we assess the merits of financial condition indices constructed using simple averages versus a more sophisticated alternative that uses factor models with time varying parameters. Our analysis is based on data for 18 advanced and emerging economies at a monthly frequency covering about...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: European Investment Bank (auth)
Format: Book Chapter
Published: European Investment Bank 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:Get Fullteks
DOAB: description of the publication
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
LEADER 01869naaaa2200265uu 4500
001 doab_20_500_12854_72858
005 20211117
020 |a /doi.org/10.2867/149278 
024 7 |a https://doi.org/10.2867/149278  |c doi 
041 0 |a English 
042 |a dc 
072 7 |a KFF  |2 bicssc 
100 1 |a European Investment Bank  |4 auth 
245 1 0 |a EIB Working Paper 2021/10 - The simpler, the better : Measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability 
260 |b European Investment Bank  |c 2021 
506 0 |a Open Access  |2 star  |f Unrestricted online access 
520 |a In this paper we assess the merits of financial condition indices constructed using simple averages versus a more sophisticated alternative that uses factor models with time varying parameters. Our analysis is based on data for 18 advanced and emerging economies at a monthly frequency covering about 70% of the world's GDP. We assess the performance of these indicators based on their ability to capture tail risk for economic activity and to predict banking and currency crises. We find that averaging across the indicators of interest, using judgmental but intuitive weights, produces financial condition indices that are not inferior to, and actually perform better than, those constructed with more sophisticated statistical methods. 
536 |a Knowledge Unlatched 
540 |a Creative Commons  |f https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/  |2 cc  |4 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ 
546 |a English 
650 7 |a Finance  |2 bicssc 
653 |a Business & Economics 
653 |a Finance 
856 4 0 |a www.oapen.org  |u https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/51525/1/economics_working_paper_2021_10_en.pdf  |7 0  |z Get Fullteks 
856 4 0 |a www.oapen.org  |u https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/72858  |7 0  |z DOAB: description of the publication