The Fuzzy Inference System with Least Square Optimization for Time Series Forecasting

The rule base on the fuzzy inference system (FIS) has a major role since the output generated by the system is highly dependent on it. The rule base is usually obtained from an expert but in this study proposed the rule base generated based on input-output data pairs with generating rule bases using...

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Main Authors: Handoyo, Samingun (Author), Marji, Marji (Author)
Format: EJournal Article
Published: Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science, 2018-09-01.
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042 |a dc 
100 1 0 |a Handoyo, Samingun  |e author 
100 1 0 |e contributor 
700 1 0 |a Marji, Marji  |e author 
245 0 0 |a The Fuzzy Inference System with Least Square Optimization for Time Series Forecasting 
260 |b Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science,   |c 2018-09-01. 
500 |a https://ijeecs.iaescore.com/index.php/IJEECS/article/view/12453 
520 |a The rule base on the fuzzy inference system (FIS) has a major role since the output generated by the system is highly dependent on it. The rule base is usually obtained from an expert but in this study proposed the rule base generated based on input-output data pairs with generating rule bases using lookup table scheme, then consequent part of each rule optimized with ordinary least square(OLS), so finally formed rule base from model FIS Takagi-Sugeno orde zero. The exchange rate dataset of EURO to USD is used for the development and validation of the system. In this study, 12 FISs were developed from a combination of linguistic values of n = 3,5,7, 9 with the number of lag (k) assumed to have an effect on output for k = 2,3,5. In training data, values R2 ranged between 0.989 and 0.993, MAPE values ranged between 0.381% and 0.473% where the FIS with the combination of n = 9 and k = 5 has the best performance. In the testing data, values R2 ranged between 0.203 and 0.7858, MAPE values ranged between 0.5136% and 0.9457% where FIS n = 3 and k = 2 perform best. 
540 |a Copyright (c) 2018 Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science 
540 |a http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 
546 |a eng 
690
690
655 7 |a info:eu-repo/semantics/article  |2 local 
655 7 |a info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion  |2 local 
655 7 |2 local 
786 0 |n Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science; Vol 11, No 3: September 2018; 1015-1026 
786 0 |n 2502-4760 
786 0 |n 2502-4752 
786 0 |n 10.11591/ijeecs.v11.i3 
787 0 |n https://ijeecs.iaescore.com/index.php/IJEECS/article/view/12453/9144 
856 4 1 |u https://ijeecs.iaescore.com/index.php/IJEECS/article/view/12453/9144  |z Get fulltext