Reservoir water level forecasting using normalization and multiple regression

Many non-parametric techniques such as Neural Network (NN) are used to forecast current reservoir water level (RWLt). However, modelling using these techniques can be established without knowledge of the mathematical relationship between the inputs and the corresponding outputs. Another important is...

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Main Authors: M-Dawam, Siti Rafidah (Author), Ku-Mahamud, Ku Ruhana (Author)
Format: EJournal Article
Published: Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science, 2019-04-01.
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LEADER 02702 am a22003013u 4500
001 ijeecs17182_11537
042 |a dc 
100 1 0 |a M-Dawam, Siti Rafidah  |e author 
100 1 0 |e contributor 
700 1 0 |a Ku-Mahamud, Ku Ruhana  |e author 
245 0 0 |a Reservoir water level forecasting using normalization and multiple regression 
260 |b Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science,   |c 2019-04-01. 
500 |a https://ijeecs.iaescore.com/index.php/IJEECS/article/view/17182 
520 |a Many non-parametric techniques such as Neural Network (NN) are used to forecast current reservoir water level (RWLt). However, modelling using these techniques can be established without knowledge of the mathematical relationship between the inputs and the corresponding outputs. Another important issue to be considered which is related to forecasting is the preprocessing stage where most non-parametric techniques normalize data into discretized data. Data normalization can influence the the results of forecasting. This paper presents reservoir water level (RWL) forecasting using normalization and multiple regression. In this study, continuous data of rainfall (RF) and changes of reservoir water level (WC) are normalized using two different normalization methods, Min-Max and Z-Score techniques. Its comparative studies and forecasting process are carried out using multiple regression. Three input scenarios for multiple regression were designed which comprise of temporal patterns of WC and RF, in which the sliding window technique has been applied. The experimental results showed that the best input scenario for forecasting the RWLt employs both the RF and the WC, in which the best predictors are three day's delay of WC and two days' delay of RF. The findings also suggested that the performance of the RWL forecasting model using multiple regression was dependent on the normalization methods. 
540 |a Copyright (c) 2018 Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science 
540 |a http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 
546 |a eng 
690
690 |a Forecasting model, Reservoir modelling Reservoir water release, Sliding window, Temporal data mining 
655 7 |a info:eu-repo/semantics/article  |2 local 
655 7 |a info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion  |2 local 
655 7 |2 local 
786 0 |n Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science; Vol 14, No 1: April 2019; 443-449 
786 0 |n 2502-4760 
786 0 |n 2502-4752 
786 0 |n 10.11591/ijeecs.v14.i1 
787 0 |n https://ijeecs.iaescore.com/index.php/IJEECS/article/view/17182/11537 
856 4 1 |u https://ijeecs.iaescore.com/index.php/IJEECS/article/view/17182/11537  |z Get fulltext